Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.03
Edge
-6.8%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
0%0/20 over 2
Window avg
0.00
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/77
Avg0.08
StreakL172
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .222 | .375 | 28.3% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .083 | .083 | 44.0% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .276 | .517 | 35.1% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .212 | .333 | 31.2% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .286 | .571 | 31.4% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .319 | .404 | 11.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Oswald Peraza clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Jo Adell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 59% · n=10 · -147 DraftKings
Zach Neto o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 46% · n=9 · +131 dabble_us_dfs
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 36% · n=10 · +158 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +911 | -909 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TEX — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Rogers DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colt Keith DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS