Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-8.3%Trending splitsHome 61%(23)
Last 15
45%5/11 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
1.13
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
43%
3/7
L20
47%
7/15
2026
51%
24/47
Avg1.03
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .368 | .779 | 22.4% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .220 | .458 | 23.8% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .200 | .233 | 28.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .351 | .610 | 10.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Junior Caminero clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=55 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 55% · n=30 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Richie Palacios o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=24 · -104 dabble_us_dfs
Richie Palacios o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=24 · -104 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +184 | -250 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +237 | -233 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +186 | -250 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs NYY — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS