Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.36
Edge
+6.4%Last 20
25%5/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
23%
6/26
Avg0.24
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .368 | .779 | 22.4% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .220 | .458 | 23.8% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .200 | .233 | 28.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .351 | .610 | 10.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Junior Caminero clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 56% · n=20 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 56% · n=20 · -149 BetOnline
Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 55% · n=24 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 62% · base 45% · n=53 · +132 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +314 | -312 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs NYY — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS