Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Junior Caminero

Tampa Bay Rays · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-8.3%
Last 20
0%0/20 over 4
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/26
Avg1.04
StreakL51

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.368.77922.4%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.220.45823.8%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.200.23328.6%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.351.61010.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Junior Caminero clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=55 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 55% · n=30 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Richie Palacios o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=24 · -104 dabble_us_dfs
Richie Palacios o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=24 · -104 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 4

official box scores
1vs SF05/010vs TOR05/040vs TOR05/062@ BOS05/070@ BOS05/081@ BOS05/102@ TOR05/122vs BAL05/181@ NYY05/242vs LAA05/301vs BOS06/081vs BOS06/091vs BOS06/100@ LAA06/122@ LAD06/150@ LAD06/162vs WSH06/190vs WSH06/210vs KC06/242@ KC06/304

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+184-250
dabble_us_dfs1.5+237-233
BetOnline1.5+186-250

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Yandy Díaz TB07/072
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/072
Richie Palacios TB07/072
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Cedric Mullins TB07/060
Jonathan Aranda TB07/060
Nick Fortes TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.500.304.313.379.500.286.235.286.226
AVG
.462.304.267.393.500.286.235.286.226
Exit Velo
90.76100.52101.9295.0099.7693.2793.8792.8197.91
sluggingPercentage
.846.739.533.7141.000.429.588.333.387
OPS
1.2861.043.8131.0691.500.714.824.619.613