Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.93
Edge
+1.9%Last 30
53%9/17 over 1 · 13 push
Window avg
1.07
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
43%
3/7
L20
44%
4/9
2026
38%
12/32
Avg0.88
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .182 | .182 | 10.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .255 | .509 | 6.7% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .111 | .111 | 17.6% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .323 | .355 | 6.7% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .313 | .594 | 30.2% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .500 | 1.125 | 8.3% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .250 | .333 | 23.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Keibert Ruiz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=126 · -155 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
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Exit Velo
AVG
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