Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Keibert Ruiz

Washington Nationals · C · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.93
Edge
+1.9%
Last 30
60%18/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
68%
17/25
Avg0.75
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6.182.18210.0%
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.255.5096.7%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.111.11117.6%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.323.3556.7%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.313.59430.2%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.5001.1258.3%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.250.33323.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Keibert Ruiz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=126 · -155 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ BAL05/162vs SF05/240vs SF05/250vs CHC06/050vs MIA06/141@ CHC03/261@ CHC03/290vs STL04/070@ MIL04/101@ MIL04/110@ PIT04/152vs SF04/191@ CWS04/250@ NYM04/291vs MIL05/020@ MIA05/081@ CIN05/132vs NYM05/202vs NYM05/210@ ATL05/242@ CLE05/261@ AZ06/061@ SF06/101@ TB06/202vs PHI06/220vs PHI06/230vs PHI06/251@ BAL06/261@ BOS06/292@ BOS06/300.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-167+125

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs HOU Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
James Wood WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Curtis Mead WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/063
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Curtis Mead WSH07/063
Jacob Young WSH07/061
Drew Millas WSH07/061
James Wood WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.143.083.200.150.276.400.500.500.222
Exit Velo
87.3086.77100.4493.4889.1990.0385.2593.4180.50
AVG
.143.083.200.150.276.400.500.500.250
sluggingPercentage
.143.333.800.200.448.700.750.967.375
OPS
.286.4171.000.350.7241.1001.2501.467.556