Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Coby Mayo

Baltimore Orioles · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-9.4%
All 168 games
1%2/155 over 2 · 13 push
Window avg
0.61
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/9
L20
0%
0/19
2026
0%
0/61
Avg0.61
StreakL5

Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
41.9%
93.7.200.32016.7%
Changeup
17.8%
87.7.174.43535.7%
Slider
11.1%
86.0.196.41348.3%
Sweeper
9.2%
83.0.107.14332.7%
Sinker
9.1%
92.4.257.60015.9%
Cutter
6.0%
87.0.091.09137.1%
Curveball
5.0%
79.8.238.42945.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Coby Mayo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dean Kremer o16.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=12 · +109 dabble_us_dfs
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=42 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Jackson Holliday o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 58% · n=59 · -128 dabble_us_dfs
Jackson Holliday o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 68% · base 58% · n=59 · -156 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 168 games vs 2

official box scores
1@ TB05/180@ TB05/191vs DET05/222vs TB05/271vs TOR05/280vs TOR05/291vs TOR05/301@ BOS06/021@ BOS06/031@ BOS06/041@ TOR06/050@ TOR06/060vs SEA06/081vs SEA06/091vs SEA06/110vs SD06/121vs SD06/130vs SD06/141@ LAD06/190@ LAD06/200@ LAD06/211@ LAA06/220@ LAA06/231@ LAA06/242vs WSH06/260vs WSH06/270vs WSH06/280vs CWS07/011@ CIN07/050vs CHC07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-123-108

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Bryan Torres STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.429.143.333.8131.190.900.143.913.960
AVG
.143.071.111.200.429.310.000.261.360
onBasePercentage
.143.071.111.188.429.333.143.261.360
sluggingPercentage
.286.071.222.667.762.586.000.652.600
Exit Velo
83.8491.0995.3392.16101.1795.7163.0295.7096.54