Tonight's line
16.5
Model proj
16.24
Edge
-7.5%Last 19
68%13/19 over 16.5
Window avg
16.74
Median
18.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
68%
13/19
2026
75%
6/8
Avg16.74
StreakW3
Pitcher Outs — last 19 vs 16.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs MIL — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 16.5
| Hunter Dobbins STL | 07/07 | 15 | ✗ |
| Matt Svanson STL | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/06 | 14 | ✗ |
| Eduardo Rodriguez AZ | 07/05 | 18 | ✓ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 07/04 | 15 | ✗ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 07/03 | 10 | ✗ |
| Chase Burns CIN | 07/02 | 18 | ✓ |
| Andrew Abbott CIN | 07/01 | 15 | ✗ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/30 | 14 | ✗ |
| Nick Lodolo CIN | 06/29 | 15 | ✗ |
| Ryan Rolison CHC | 06/28 | 6 | ✗ |
| David Peterson CHC | 06/27 | 17 | ✓ |
| Colin Rea CHC | 06/26 | 15 | ✗ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/24 | 17 | ✓ |