Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Michael McGreevy

St. Louis Cardinals · P · Bats L · Throws R

Tonight's line
3.5
Model proj
3.22
Edge
-11.6%
Last 15
29%4/14 over 4 · 1 push
Window avg
3.40
Median
3.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
33%
3/9
L20
33%
6/18
2026
33%
5/15
Avg3.58
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Michael McGreevy clears 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 81% · n=14 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 75% · n=18 · -179 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 15 vs 4

official box scores
1@ WSH04/082vs CLE04/143@ MIA04/206vs SEA04/263vs LAD05/029@ SD05/083@ OAK05/141vs PIT05/206@ MIL05/261vs TEX06/015vs CIN06/072@ MIN06/142@ KC06/194vs MIA06/263@ ATL07/014

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings3.5-121-105
FanDuel3.5-118-108
PrizePicks3.5-137-137
DK Pick63.5-137-137
Betr Picks3.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs3.5-109+109

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

3.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsdabble_us_dfsPrizePicksBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs MIL Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 3.5

Hunter Dobbins STL07/074
Matt Svanson STL07/071
Dustin May STL07/067
Eduardo Rodriguez AZ07/053
Merrill Kelly AZ07/046
Jose Cabrera AZ07/033
Chase Burns CIN07/024
Andrew Abbott CIN07/013
Rhett Lowder CIN06/308
Nick Lodolo CIN06/294
Ryan Rolison CHC06/282
David Peterson CHC06/272
Colin Rea CHC06/264
Rhett Lowder CIN06/246

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Four-seam FB25.7% · 91.6 mph
Changeup21.0% · 86.7 mph
Sinker16.5% · 90.4 mph
Cutter11.3% · 86.8 mph
Curveball11.2% · 77.9 mph
Sweeper10.2% · 81.4 mph
Slider4.1% · 83.4 mph