Tonight's line
3.5
Model proj
3.21
Edge
-11.6%Last 19
41%7/17 over 4 · 2 push
Window avg
3.58
Median
3.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
44%
4/9
L20
41%
7/17
2026
43%
3/7
Avg3.58
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Michael McGreevy clears 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 81% · n=14 · -198 DraftKings
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 75% · n=18 · -231 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 19 vs 4
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKings
League vs MIL — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 3.5
| Hunter Dobbins STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Matt Svanson STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| Eduardo Rodriguez AZ | 07/05 | 3 | ✗ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 07/04 | 6 | ✓ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 07/03 | 3 | ✗ |
| Chase Burns CIN | 07/02 | 4 | ✓ |
| Andrew Abbott CIN | 07/01 | 3 | ✗ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/30 | 8 | ✓ |
| Nick Lodolo CIN | 06/29 | 4 | ✓ |
| Ryan Rolison CHC | 06/28 | 2 | ✗ |
| David Peterson CHC | 06/27 | 2 | ✗ |
| Colin Rea CHC | 06/26 | 4 | ✓ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/24 | 6 | ✓ |