Tonight's line
3.5
Model proj
3.22
Edge
-11.6%Last 5
60%3/5 over 2.5
Window avg
3.20
Median
3.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
65%
11/17
Avg3.58
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Michael McGreevy clears 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 81% · n=14 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 75% · n=18 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 5 vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.5 | -121 | -105 |
| FanDuel | 3.5 | -118 | -108 |
| PrizePicks | 3.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 3.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 3.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 3.5 | -109 | +109 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsdabble_us_dfsPrizePicksBetr PicksDK Pick6
League vs MIL — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 3.5
| Hunter Dobbins STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Matt Svanson STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| Eduardo Rodriguez AZ | 07/05 | 3 | ✗ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 07/04 | 6 | ✓ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 07/03 | 3 | ✗ |
| Chase Burns CIN | 07/02 | 4 | ✓ |
| Andrew Abbott CIN | 07/01 | 3 | ✗ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/30 | 8 | ✓ |
| Nick Lodolo CIN | 06/29 | 4 | ✓ |
| Ryan Rolison CHC | 06/28 | 2 | ✗ |
| David Peterson CHC | 06/27 | 2 | ✗ |
| Colin Rea CHC | 06/26 | 4 | ✓ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/24 | 6 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB25.7% · 91.6 mph
Changeup21.0% · 86.7 mph
Sinker16.5% · 90.4 mph
Cutter11.3% · 86.8 mph
Curveball11.2% · 77.9 mph
Sweeper10.2% · 81.4 mph
Slider4.1% · 83.4 mph