Tonight's line
16.5
Model proj
16.24
Edge
-7.5%Last 5
80%4/5 over 17
Window avg
17.40
Median
18.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
63%
12/19
2026
69%
11/16
Avg16.89
StreakW2
Pitcher Outs — last 5 vs 17
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 16.5 | -133 | +101 |
| PrizePicks | 17.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 16.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 15.5 | -120 | +120 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 16.5 | -120 | +120 |
| Bovada | 16.5 | -140 | +100 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 17.5 | +108 | -106 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsPrizePicksBetr Picks
| Time | Book | Move |
|---|---|---|
| 11:15 AM ET | dabble_us_dfs | 16.5 → 17.5 |
| 11:15 AM ET | dabble_us_dfs | 15.5 → 16.5 |
League vs MIL — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 16.5
| Hunter Dobbins STL | 07/07 | 15 | ✗ |
| Matt Svanson STL | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Dustin May STL | 07/06 | 14 | ✗ |
| Eduardo Rodriguez AZ | 07/05 | 18 | ✓ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 07/04 | 15 | ✗ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 07/03 | 10 | ✗ |
| Chase Burns CIN | 07/02 | 18 | ✓ |
| Andrew Abbott CIN | 07/01 | 15 | ✗ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/30 | 14 | ✗ |
| Nick Lodolo CIN | 06/29 | 15 | ✗ |
| Ryan Rolison CHC | 06/28 | 6 | ✗ |
| David Peterson CHC | 06/27 | 17 | ✓ |
| Colin Rea CHC | 06/26 | 15 | ✗ |
| Rhett Lowder CIN | 06/24 | 17 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB25.7% · 91.6 mph
Changeup21.0% · 86.7 mph
Sinker16.5% · 90.4 mph
Cutter11.3% · 86.8 mph
Curveball11.2% · 77.9 mph
Sweeper10.2% · 81.4 mph
Slider4.1% · 83.4 mph