Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.32
Edge
-5.0%Last 30
53%16/30 over 4.5
Window avg
4.77
Median
5.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
55%
6/11
Avg4.77
StreakL2
Parlay pairs — when Jeffrey Springs clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 57% · n=8 · -151 DraftKings
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 53% · n=20 · -180 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 30 vs 4.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -105 | -121 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -113 | -113 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -115 | -115 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsBovada
League vs DET — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| J.T. Ginn OAK | 07/07 | 4 | ✗ |
| Kumar Rocker TEX | 07/05 | 4 | ✗ |
| Cal Quantrill TEX | 07/04 | 2 | ✗ |
| Nathan Eovaldi TEX | 07/02 | 9 | ✓ |
| Will Warren NYY | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 06/30 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ryan Weathers NYY | 06/29 | 3 | ✗ |
| Hunter Brown HOU | 06/28 | 4 | ✗ |
| Kai-Wei Teng HOU | 06/27 | 1 | ✗ |
| Spencer Arrighetti HOU | 06/26 | 7 | ✓ |
| Tatsuya Imai HOU | 06/25 | 10 | ✓ |
| Ryan Weathers NYY | 06/24 | 6 | ✓ |
| Carlos Rodón NYY | 06/23 | 5 | ✓ |
| Gerrit Cole NYY | 06/22 | 5 | ✓ |