Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.32
Edge
-4.9%Last 30
47%14/30 over 4.5
Window avg
4.40
Median
4.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
44%
8/18
Avg4.36
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Jeffrey Springs clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 57% · n=8 · -135 dabble_us_dfs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 53% · n=20 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 30 vs 4.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -105 | -121 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -113 | -113 |
| PrizePicks | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 4.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -115 | -115 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 4.5 | -106 | +108 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsBovadaUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs DET — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| J.T. Ginn OAK | 07/07 | 4 | ✗ |
| Kumar Rocker TEX | 07/05 | 4 | ✗ |
| Cal Quantrill TEX | 07/04 | 2 | ✗ |
| Nathan Eovaldi TEX | 07/02 | 9 | ✓ |
| Will Warren NYY | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 06/30 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ryan Weathers NYY | 06/29 | 3 | ✗ |
| Hunter Brown HOU | 06/28 | 4 | ✗ |
| Kai-Wei Teng HOU | 06/27 | 1 | ✗ |
| Spencer Arrighetti HOU | 06/26 | 7 | ✓ |
| Tatsuya Imai HOU | 06/25 | 10 | ✓ |
| Ryan Weathers NYY | 06/24 | 6 | ✓ |
| Carlos Rodón NYY | 06/23 | 5 | ✓ |
| Gerrit Cole NYY | 06/22 | 5 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB43.7% · 91.4 mph
Slider26.0% · 83.9 mph
Changeup22.8% · 79.5 mph
Sweeper5.7% · 76.7 mph
Cutter1.8% · 88.4 mph