Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.22
Edge
-0.9%Last 20
0%0/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
2%
2/84
Avg0.14
StreakL24
Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.7% | 91.4 | .284 | .568 | 17.3% |
| Slider | 26.0% | 83.9 | .370 | .815 | 32.8% |
| Changeup | 22.8% | 79.5 | .265 | .500 | 35.9% |
| Sweeper | 5.7% | 76.7 | .296 | .778 | 18.0% |
| Cutter | 1.8% | 88.4 | .313 | .688 | 13.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dillon Dingler clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 74% · n=16 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Riley Greene o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 62% · n=31 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Matt Vierling o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 59% · n=12 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Troy Melton o17.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 63% · base 23% · n=8 · -101 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +393 | -385 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs OAK — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Colt Keith DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Matt Vierling DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach McKinstry DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Outman DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heriberto Hernández MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Leo Jiménez MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS