Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
4.58
Edge
-5.2%Last 20
55%11/20 over 4.5
Window avg
5.10
Median
5.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
59%
10/17
Avg4.48
StreakL4
Parlay pairs — when Davis Martin clears 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 92% · base 74% · n=13 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 92% · base 74% · n=13 · -185 BetOnline
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 63% · n=24 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 20 vs 4.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.5 | -132 | +103 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -115 | -111 |
| BetOnline | 4.5 | -120 | -108 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -115 | -115 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 4.5 | -122 | +124 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs BOS — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 4.5
| Noah Schultz CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Ryan Johnson LAA | 07/05 | 6 | ✓ |
| Sam Aldegheri LAA | 07/04 | 2 | ✗ |
| Reid Detmers LAA | 07/03 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brad Lord WSH | 07/01 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cade Cavalli WSH | 06/30 | 13 | ✓ |
| Miles Mikolas WSH | 06/29 | 3 | ✗ |
| Carlos Rodón NYY | 06/28 | 6 | ✓ |
| Gerrit Cole NYY | 06/27 | 5 | ✓ |
| Will Warren NYY | 06/26 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 06/25 | 9 | ✓ |
| Kyle Freeland COL | 06/24 | 4 | ✗ |
| Sean Sullivan COL | 06/23 | 3 | ✗ |
| Ryan Feltner COL | 06/22 | 2 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB26.0% · 92.7 mph
Sinker17.9% · 90.8 mph
Changeup14.8% · 88.7 mph
Slider14.5% · 85.3 mph
Cutter13.5% · 87.0 mph
Curveball13.3% · 80.7 mph