Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
16.62
Edge
-11.9%Last 9
44%4/9 over 17.5
Window avg
15.56
Median
17.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
44%
4/9
L20
44%
4/9
2026
100%
2/2
Avg15.56
StreakW2
Pitcher Outs — last 9 vs 17.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs BOS — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| Noah Schultz CWS | 07/07 | 15 | ✗ |
| Ryan Johnson LAA | 07/05 | 12 | ✗ |
| Sam Aldegheri LAA | 07/04 | 12 | ✗ |
| Reid Detmers LAA | 07/03 | 15 | ✗ |
| Brad Lord WSH | 07/01 | 7 | ✗ |
| Cade Cavalli WSH | 06/30 | 21 | ✓ |
| Miles Mikolas WSH | 06/29 | 21 | ✓ |
| Carlos Rodón NYY | 06/28 | 15 | ✗ |
| Gerrit Cole NYY | 06/27 | 16 | ✗ |
| Will Warren NYY | 06/26 | 17 | ✗ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 06/25 | 15 | ✗ |
| Kyle Freeland COL | 06/24 | 18 | ✓ |
| Sean Sullivan COL | 06/23 | 15 | ✗ |
| Ryan Feltner COL | 06/22 | 18 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB26.0% · 92.7 mph
Sinker17.9% · 90.8 mph
Changeup14.8% · 88.7 mph
Slider14.5% · 85.3 mph
Cutter13.5% · 87.0 mph
Curveball13.3% · 80.7 mph