Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.19
Edge
-12.9%All 174 games
7%9/126 over 1 · 48 push
Window avg
0.38
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/15
2026
0%
0/33
Avg0.38
StreakL10
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .075 | .125 | 34.6% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .281 | .375 | 6.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .250 | .333 | 26.9% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .156 | .156 | 43.5% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .375 | .375 | 50.0% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .286 | .429 | 15.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Carlos Narváez clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 68% · n=24 · -186 DraftKings
Jarren Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 67% · n=56 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Masataka Yoshida o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 61% · n=20 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 65% · n=53 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 174 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +231 | -227 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CWS — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Manzardo CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Patrick Bailey CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS