Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.64
Edge
-5.3%Trending splitsDay 61%(18)
All 174 games
55%96/174 over 0.5
Window avg
1.22
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
50%
24/48
Avg1.22
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .075 | .125 | 34.6% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .281 | .375 | 6.5% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .250 | .333 | 26.9% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .156 | .156 | 43.5% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .375 | .375 | 50.0% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .286 | .429 | 15.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Carlos Narváez clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 68% · n=37 · -186 DraftKings
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=74 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 174 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinePrizePicks
League vs CWS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Ingle CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS