Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Carlos Narváez

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.46
Edge
-15.5%
Trending splitsDay 61%(18)
Last 122
55%67/122 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
50%
18/36
Avg0.70
StreakL4

Parlay pairs — when Carlos Narváez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 68% · n=37 · -186 DraftKings
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=74 · -213 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 122 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ STL04/102@ STL04/110@ MIN04/130@ MIN04/142vs DET04/201vs NYY04/211vs NYY04/231@ BAL04/241@ TOR04/270@ TOR04/280vs HOU05/011vs HOU05/030@ DET05/060vs TB05/080vs TB05/101vs PHI05/121@ ATL05/151@ ATL05/171@ KC05/200vs MIN05/242@ CLE05/311vs TEX06/130vs TEX06/140@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/201vs NYY06/250vs NYY06/270vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/300@ LAA07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-126-105
BetOnline0.5-116-111

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051