Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.11
Edge
-4.4%Last 12
50%6/12 over 5.5
Window avg
5.92
Median
5.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
6/12
2026
67%
2/3
Avg5.92
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Logan Webb clears 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Willy Adames o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=28 · -125 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 12 vs 5.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +111 | -142 |
| FanDuel | 4.5 | -170 | +132 |
| Bovada | 4.5 | -170 | +130 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsBovada
League vs TOR — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Trevor McDonald SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Landen Roupp SF | 07/06 | 5 | ✗ |
| Emerson Hancock SEA | 07/05 | 5 | ✗ |
| Logan Gilbert SEA | 07/04 | 7 | ✓ |
| Luis Castillo SEA | 07/03 | 4 | ✗ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 07/01 | 4 | ✗ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 06/30 | 7 | ✓ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 06/29 | 4 | ✗ |
| Kumar Rocker TEX | 06/28 | 5 | ✗ |
| Cal Quantrill TEX | 06/27 | 5 | ✗ |
| Nathan Eovaldi TEX | 06/26 | 9 | ✓ |
| MacKenzie Gore TEX | 06/25 | 5 | ✗ |
| Mike Burrows HOU | 06/24 | 3 | ✗ |
| Peter Lambert HOU | 06/23 | 6 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Sinker31.6% · 92.2 mph
Changeup24.0% · 86.1 mph
Sweeper19.2% · 84.2 mph
Four-seam FB13.2% · 92.4 mph
Cutter12.0% · 89.9 mph