Tonight's line
18.5
Model proj
18.14
Edge
-3.6%Last 5
80%4/5 over 18.5
Window avg
21.00
Median
21.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
80%
4/5
Avg18.96
StreakW4
Parlay pairs — when Logan Webb clears 18.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Casey Schmitt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 62% · n=16 · -159 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 5 vs 18.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 18.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 18.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 18.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 18.5 | +105 | -104 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksdabble_us_dfsUnderdogBetr Picks
League vs TOR — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 18.5
| Trevor McDonald SF | 07/07 | 7 | ✗ |
| Landen Roupp SF | 07/06 | 24 | ✓ |
| Emerson Hancock SEA | 07/05 | 21 | ✓ |
| Logan Gilbert SEA | 07/04 | 22 | ✓ |
| Luis Castillo SEA | 07/03 | 18 | ✗ |
| Freddy Peralta NYM | 07/01 | 12 | ✗ |
| Nolan McLean NYM | 06/30 | 18 | ✗ |
| Sean Manaea NYM | 06/29 | 17 | ✗ |
| Kumar Rocker TEX | 06/28 | 18 | ✗ |
| Cal Quantrill TEX | 06/27 | 12 | ✗ |
| Nathan Eovaldi TEX | 06/26 | 21 | ✓ |
| MacKenzie Gore TEX | 06/25 | 21 | ✓ |
| Mike Burrows HOU | 06/24 | 18 | ✗ |
| Peter Lambert HOU | 06/23 | 14 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Sinker31.6% · 92.2 mph
Changeup24.0% · 86.1 mph
Sweeper19.2% · 84.2 mph
Four-seam FB13.2% · 92.4 mph
Cutter12.0% · 89.9 mph