Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Tyler Phillips

Miami Marlins · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
3.21
Edge
-22.2%
Last 30
3%1/30 over 4.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
9%
1/11
Avg1.67
StreakL1

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 30 vs 4.5

official box scores
1vs LAD05/072@ CWS05/110vs CHC05/211vs SF06/011@ TB06/061@ TB06/071@ WSH06/150vs MIL07/050vs KC07/190vs NYY08/023@ ATL08/100@ BOS08/170vs TOR08/230vs TOR08/241@ NYM08/301@ WSH09/033vs PHI09/071@ COL09/180vs NYM09/282vs COL03/293@ NYY04/034vs CIN04/092@ DET04/120@ SF04/253vs PHI05/030@ TB05/174vs NYM05/242@ NYM05/305vs AZ06/111@ STL06/284.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5+113-144
FanDuel4.5+120-154
PrizePicks4.5-137-137
DK Pick64.5-137
Betr Picks4.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs4.5+120-120

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsPrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs SEA Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Max Meyer MIA07/074
Trey Yesavage TOR07/057
Shane Bieber TOR07/043
Dylan Cease TOR07/039
Walbert Ureña LAA07/026
José Soriano LAA06/309
Ryan Johnson LAA06/293
Gavin Williams CLE06/286
Slade Cecconi CLE06/274
Joey Cantillo CLE06/269
Bubba Chandler PIT06/254
Braxton Ashcraft PIT06/2410
Mitch Keller PIT06/234
Payton Tolle BOS06/212

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Sinker25.2% · 95.8 mph
Sweeper24.1% · 84.2 mph
Splitter24.0% · 87.4 mph
Curveball16.5% · 83.6 mph
Four-seam FB9.1% · 96.3 mph
Slider1.1% · 88.7 mph