Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Tyler Phillips

Miami Marlins · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
3.21
Edge
-22.2%
All 15 games
13%2/15 over 4.5
Window avg
3.07
Median
3.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
13%
2/15
2026
14%
1/7
Avg3.07
StreakL4

Pitcher Strikeoutsall 15 games vs 4.5

official box scores
5vs OAK07/133@ PIT07/214vs CLE07/271@ SEA08/023@ LAD08/074vs MIA08/141@ TOR09/033vs PHI09/074vs NYM05/242@ NYM05/305vs AZ06/114@ PHI06/164vs TEX06/221@ STL06/282@ OAK07/034.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5+113-144
FanDuel4.5+120-154
PrizePicks4.5-137-137
DK Pick64.5-137
Betr Picks4.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs4.5+120-120

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsPrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs SEA Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Max Meyer MIA07/074
Trey Yesavage TOR07/057
Shane Bieber TOR07/043
Dylan Cease TOR07/039
Walbert Ureña LAA07/026
José Soriano LAA06/309
Ryan Johnson LAA06/293
Gavin Williams CLE06/286
Slade Cecconi CLE06/274
Joey Cantillo CLE06/269
Bubba Chandler PIT06/254
Braxton Ashcraft PIT06/2410
Mitch Keller PIT06/234
Payton Tolle BOS06/212

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Sinker25.2% · 95.8 mph
Sweeper24.1% · 84.2 mph
Splitter24.0% · 87.4 mph
Curveball16.5% · 83.6 mph
Four-seam FB9.1% · 96.3 mph
Slider1.1% · 88.7 mph