Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Tyler Phillips

Miami Marlins · P · Bats R · Throws R

Tonight's line
4.5
Model proj
3.21
Edge
-22.2%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.80
Median
1.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
33%
3/9
Avg1.70
StreakW2

Pitcher Strikeoutslast 20 vs 2.5

official box scores
1vs PHI06/171vs PHI06/184@ MIL07/263@ ATL08/100@ BOS08/171@ NYM08/301@ WSH09/031vs WSH09/111@ COL09/163@ PHI09/230vs NYM09/282vs COL03/291vs CIN04/062@ DET04/120@ SF04/253vs PHI05/032vs WSH05/082vs ATL05/204@ PHI06/164vs TEX06/222.5

Tonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings4.5+113-144
FanDuel4.5+120-154
PrizePicks4.5-137-137
DK Pick64.5-137
Betr Picks4.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs4.5+120-120

Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

4.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
FanDuelDraftKingsPrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs SEA Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 4.5

Max Meyer MIA07/074
Trey Yesavage TOR07/057
Shane Bieber TOR07/043
Dylan Cease TOR07/039
Walbert Ureña LAA07/026
José Soriano LAA06/309
Ryan Johnson LAA06/293
Gavin Williams CLE06/286
Slade Cecconi CLE06/274
Joey Cantillo CLE06/269
Bubba Chandler PIT06/254
Braxton Ashcraft PIT06/2410
Mitch Keller PIT06/234
Payton Tolle BOS06/212

Pitch arsenal — 2026

Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.

Sinker25.2% · 95.8 mph
Sweeper24.1% · 84.2 mph
Splitter24.0% · 87.4 mph
Curveball16.5% · 83.6 mph
Four-seam FB9.1% · 96.3 mph
Slider1.1% · 88.7 mph