Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.13
Edge
+6.2%Last 329
45%149/329 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
55%
51/93
Avg0.65
StreakW6
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .053 | .158 | 50.8% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .360 | .730 | 17.4% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .222 | .422 | 37.7% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .361 | .607 | 12.6% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .265 | .412 | 30.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .240 | .480 | 25.8% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .280 | .760 | 51.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when James Wood clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Daylen Lile o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=87 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 65% · n=130 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Keibert Ruiz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=98 · -167 DraftKings
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 58% · n=113 · -155 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 329 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -159 | +161 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs HOU — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS