Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.48
Edge
+21.9%Last 30
53%16/30 over 1.5
Window avg
2.30
Median
2.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
54%
50/93
Avg1.84
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | .053 | .158 | 50.8% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .360 | .730 | 17.4% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .222 | .422 | 37.7% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .361 | .607 | 12.6% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .265 | .412 | 30.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .240 | .480 | 25.8% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .280 | .760 | 51.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when James Wood clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=124 · -203 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 30 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +114 | -151 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +115 | -150 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picks
League vs HOU — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS