Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

James Wood

Washington Nationals · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.12
Edge
+4.7%
Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
55%
16/29
Avg1.02
StreakW4

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6.053.15850.8%
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.360.73017.4%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.222.42237.7%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.361.60712.6%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.265.41230.6%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.240.48025.8%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.280.76051.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when James Wood clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

CJ Abrams o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 65% · n=188 · -164 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs PHI06/251@ BAL06/261@ BOS06/293@ BOS06/302@ BOS07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-200+150
dabble_us_dfs0.5-172+175

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs HOU Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Curtis Mead WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Curtis Mead WSH07/063
CJ Abrams WSH07/063
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Luis García Jr. WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.294.450.400.333.554.303.182.306.143
Exit Velo
100.38104.2796.7490.93102.5395.6780.3096.17102.12
AVG
.200.450.400.345.554.303.156.306.100
sluggingPercentage
.5331.100.600.5521.304.515.188.583.300
OPS
.7651.5501.000.8671.857.818.364.889.429