Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
17.23
Edge
-3.0%Last 10
70%7/10 over 17.5
Window avg
17.70
Median
18.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
70%
7/10
Avg16.32
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Michael King clears 17.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 76% · n=22 · -258 DraftKings
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 57% · n=28 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=11 · -137 Betr Picks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 10 vs 17.5
official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs AZ — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| Germán Márquez SD | 07/07 | 15 | ✗ |
| Walker Buehler SD | 07/06 | 15 | ✗ |
| Brandon Sproat MIL | 07/05 | 12 | ✗ |
| Brandon Woodruff MIL | 07/04 | 11 | ✗ |
| Kyle Harrison MIL | 07/03 | 8 | ✗ |
| Trevor McDonald SF | 07/01 | 18 | ✓ |
| Landen Roupp SF | 06/30 | 8 | ✗ |
| Tyler Mahle SF | 06/29 | 13 | ✗ |
| Drew Rasmussen TB | 06/28 | 18 | ✓ |
| Cole Sulser TB | 06/27 | 6 | ✗ |
| Nick Martinez TB | 06/26 | 17 | ✗ |
| Matthew Liberatore STL | 06/24 | 16 | ✗ |
| Kyle Leahy STL | 06/23 | 19 | ✓ |
| Andre Pallante STL | 06/22 | 18 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Sinker29.8% · 92.9 mph
Changeup26.6% · 86.3 mph
Sweeper19.3% · 81.9 mph
Four-seam FB18.8% · 94.1 mph
Slider5.5% · 84.7 mph