Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ali Sánchez

New York Yankees · PH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-6.5%
All 29 games
28%8/29 over 0.5
Window avg
0.41
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
0%
0/5
Avg0.41
StreakL6

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.308.30826.1%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.600.80020.0%
Slider
20.0%
88.3
Curveball
14.3%
82.1

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitsall 29 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs SEA06/220vs SEA06/231@ KC06/252@ PHI06/270vs BOS07/042@ CIN07/120vs BAL07/230vs BAL07/240@ MIL07/280@ TB07/310@ ATL08/020vs CIN08/050vs SD08/111@ PHI08/130@ PHI08/140@ COL08/273@ COL08/290@ SF08/311@ TB05/250@ TEX05/280vs OAK05/311@ BAL07/291@ BAL07/300@ HOU08/120@ CLE06/080@ TOR06/120vs CIN06/210vs DET07/010vs MIN07/040.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5+100-133
DK Pick60.5-137
BetOnline0.5+102-132
dabble_us_dfs0.5+106-105

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBetr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/073
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Austin Wells NYY07/060
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/060
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.250.000-.000.500.333.000.250-
sluggingPercentage
.250.000-.000.667.333.000.500-
AVG
.250.000-.000.500.333.000.250-
OPS
.500.000-.0001.167.667.000.750-
Exit Velo
88.5574.36-92.0987.7488.2453.5287.46-