Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
4.45
Edge
-15.5%Last 12
42%5/12 over 5.5
Window avg
5.25
Median
5.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
42%
5/12
2026
50%
2/4
Avg5.25
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Gerrit Cole clears 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=13 · -189 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 12 vs 5.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +113 | -144 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +102 | -130 |
| BetOnline | 5.5 | +106 | -137 |
| Bovada | 5.5 | +100 | -130 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs TB — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Will Warren NYY | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 07/06 | 8 | ✓ |
| Peter Lambert HOU | 07/05 | 6 | ✓ |
| Hunter Brown HOU | 07/04 | 3 | ✗ |
| Spencer Arrighetti HOU | 07/03 | 4 | ✗ |
| Stephen Kolek KC | 07/02 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seth Lugo KC | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Noah Cameron KC | 06/30 | 0 | ✗ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 06/28 | 3 | ✗ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 06/27 | 4 | ✗ |
| Zac Gallen AZ | 06/26 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seth Lugo KC | 06/25 | 3 | ✗ |
| Noah Cameron KC | 06/24 | 5 | ✗ |
| Luinder Avila KC | 06/23 | 6 | ✓ |