Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
4.45
Edge
-15.5%Last 30
24%6/25 over 7 · 5 push
Window avg
5.40
Median
5.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
11%
1/9
L20
13%
2/16
2026
14%
1/7
Avg5.40
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Gerrit Cole clears 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 75% · base 55% · n=8 · +184 dabble_us_dfs
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=13 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 30 vs 7
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +113 | -144 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +102 | -130 |
| PrizePicks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 5.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| Bovada | 5.5 | +100 | -130 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 5.5 | +129 | -128 |
| BetOnline | 5.5 | +106 | -137 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelBetOnlineDraftKingsBovadaPrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs TB — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Will Warren NYY | 07/07 | 3 | ✗ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 07/06 | 8 | ✓ |
| Peter Lambert HOU | 07/05 | 6 | ✓ |
| Hunter Brown HOU | 07/04 | 3 | ✗ |
| Spencer Arrighetti HOU | 07/03 | 4 | ✗ |
| Stephen Kolek KC | 07/02 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seth Lugo KC | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Noah Cameron KC | 06/30 | 0 | ✗ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 06/28 | 3 | ✗ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 06/27 | 4 | ✗ |
| Zac Gallen AZ | 06/26 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seth Lugo KC | 06/25 | 3 | ✗ |
| Noah Cameron KC | 06/24 | 5 | ✗ |
| Luinder Avila KC | 06/23 | 6 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB44.0% · 93.5 mph
Slider18.5% · 87.2 mph
Changeup15.5% · 83.7 mph
Knuckle Curve14.3% · 81.2 mph
Sinker7.8% · 90.6 mph