Tonight's line
17.5
Model proj
16.35
Edge
-13.6%Last 20
36%5/14 over 18 · 6 push
Window avg
17.20
Median
18.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
29%
2/7
L20
36%
5/14
2026
17%
1/6
Avg16.67
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Gerrit Cole clears 17.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=13 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 20 vs 18
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Outs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 17.5 | -114 | -116 |
| PrizePicks | 17.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 17.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 17.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 17.5 | +100 | +101 |
| Bovada | 17.5 | -120 | -120 |
Line movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs TB — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 17.5
| Will Warren NYY | 07/07 | 12 | ✗ |
| Cam Schlittler NYY | 07/06 | 24 | ✓ |
| Peter Lambert HOU | 07/05 | 17 | ✗ |
| Hunter Brown HOU | 07/04 | 12 | ✗ |
| Spencer Arrighetti HOU | 07/03 | 18 | ✓ |
| Stephen Kolek KC | 07/02 | 6 | ✗ |
| Seth Lugo KC | 07/01 | 18 | ✓ |
| Noah Cameron KC | 06/30 | 11 | ✗ |
| Merrill Kelly AZ | 06/28 | 18 | ✓ |
| Jose Cabrera AZ | 06/27 | 15 | ✗ |
| Zac Gallen AZ | 06/26 | 20 | ✓ |
| Seth Lugo KC | 06/25 | 15 | ✗ |
| Noah Cameron KC | 06/24 | 15 | ✗ |
| Luinder Avila KC | 06/23 | 15 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Four-seam FB44.0% · 93.5 mph
Slider18.5% · 87.2 mph
Changeup15.5% · 83.7 mph
Knuckle Curve14.3% · 81.2 mph
Sinker7.8% · 90.6 mph