Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.97
Edge
+8.3%All 180 games
39%70/180 over 1.5
Window avg
1.66
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
46%
26/57
Avg1.66
StreakW4
Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.9% | 95.6 | .352 | 1.000 | 22.5% |
| Changeup | 28.8% | 87.0 | .324 | .618 | 27.3% |
| Slider | 20.0% | 88.3 | .311 | .556 | 33.7% |
| Curveball | 14.3% | 82.1 | .200 | .514 | 33.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ben Rice clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Jasson Domínguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 54% · n=45 · -149 dabble_us_dfs
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=69 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
José Caballero o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=50 · -123 DraftKings
José Caballero o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=50 · -123 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 180 games vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +118 | -158 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +144 | -143 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +130 | -169 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs TB — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ali Sánchez NYY | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Amed Rosario NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/06 | 8 | ✓ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan McMahon NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Austin Wells NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS