Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ben Rice

New York Yankees · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.88
Edge
-5.5%
Trending splitsAway 55%(40)
Last 275
58%160/275 over 0.5
Window avg
0.86
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
66%
57/86
Avg0.86
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.3521.00022.5%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.324.61827.3%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.311.55633.7%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.200.51433.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Ben Rice clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=99 · -222 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 275 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs CLE06/042vs BOS06/050vs BOS06/072@ CLE06/080@ CLE06/091@ CLE06/100@ TOR06/121@ TOR06/132@ TOR06/141vs CWS06/161vs CWS06/171vs CWS06/182vs CIN06/190vs CIN06/202vs CIN06/210@ DET06/220@ DET06/232@ DET06/240@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/260@ BOS06/270@ BOS06/280vs DET06/291vs DET06/301vs DET07/011vs MIN07/030vs MIN07/041vs MIN07/051@ TB07/063@ TB07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-217+162
BetOnline0.5-208+158
dabble_us_dfs0.5-189+189

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ali Sánchez NYY07/072
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Trent Grisham NYY07/060
Austin Wells NYY07/060
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/060
Ryan McMahon NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.750.8001.500.368.769.706.375.781.824
Exit Velo
96.2197.0294.6592.5294.5589.9786.6995.7197.15
AVG
.292.333.667.211.436.294.250.313.294
onBasePercentage
.320.344.667.211.425.294.250.313.294
OPS
1.0401.0942.167.5791.1751.000.6251.0941.118