Tonight's line
15.5
Model proj
14.33
Edge
-5.2%Last 20
35%7/20 over 15.5
Window avg
14.20
Median
14.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
25%
2/8
Avg12.27
StreakL6
Parlay pairs — when Grant Holmes clears 15.5 Pitcher Outs, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=21 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 67% · n=20 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Outs — last 20 vs 15.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Outs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs PIT — Pitcher Outs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 15.5
| Hurston Waldrep ATL | 07/07 | 10 | ✗ |
| Cade Cavalli WSH | 07/05 | 7 | ✗ |
| Carson Palmquist WSH | 07/04 | 3 | ✗ |
| Foster Griffin WSH | 07/03 | 15 | ✗ |
| Alan Rangel PHI | 07/02 | 12 | ✗ |
| Zack Wheeler PHI | 07/01 | 14 | ✗ |
| Cristopher Sánchez PHI | 06/30 | 21 | ✓ |
| Aaron Nola PHI | 06/29 | 13 | ✗ |
| Brady Singer CIN | 06/28 | 13 | ✗ |
| Chase Burns CIN | 06/27 | 18 | ✓ |
| Andrew Abbott CIN | 06/26 | 16 | ✓ |
| Bryce Miller SEA | 06/25 | 17 | ✓ |
| Bryan Woo SEA | 06/24 | 12 | ✗ |
| George Kirby SEA | 06/23 | 18 | ✓ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Slider38.0% · 85.3 mph
Four-seam FB31.7% · 94.2 mph
Sinker10.3% · 93.1 mph
Curveball8.1% · 82.9 mph
Cutter6.5% · 92.2 mph
Changeup5.5% · 89.6 mph