Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.04
Edge
-3.3%Last 18
64%9/14 over 4 · 4 push
Window avg
4.94
Median
4.5
L5
67%
2/3
L10
86%
6/7
L20
64%
9/14
2026
100%
2/2
Avg4.94
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Grant Holmes clears 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 72% · n=15 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 18 vs 4
official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +123 | -157 |
| PrizePicks | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 4.5 | -137 | -137 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsPrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs PIT — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Hurston Waldrep ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✗ |
| Cade Cavalli WSH | 07/05 | 3 | ✗ |
| Carson Palmquist WSH | 07/04 | 3 | ✗ |
| Foster Griffin WSH | 07/03 | 2 | ✗ |
| Alan Rangel PHI | 07/02 | 4 | ✗ |
| Zack Wheeler PHI | 07/01 | 10 | ✓ |
| Cristopher Sánchez PHI | 06/30 | 9 | ✓ |
| Aaron Nola PHI | 06/29 | 5 | ✗ |
| Brady Singer CIN | 06/28 | 6 | ✓ |
| Chase Burns CIN | 06/27 | 10 | ✓ |
| Andrew Abbott CIN | 06/26 | 6 | ✓ |
| Bryce Miller SEA | 06/25 | 11 | ✓ |
| Bryan Woo SEA | 06/24 | 4 | ✗ |
| George Kirby SEA | 06/23 | 5 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Slider38.0% · 85.3 mph
Four-seam FB31.7% · 94.2 mph
Sinker10.3% · 93.1 mph
Curveball8.1% · 82.9 mph
Cutter6.5% · 92.2 mph
Changeup5.5% · 89.6 mph