Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.37
Edge
-2.4%Trending splitsAway 20%(25)
All 356 games
16%37/238 over 1 · 118 push
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
25%
2/8
L20
21%
3/14
2026
11%
6/55
Avg0.55
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .195 | .218 | 21.3% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .348 | .522 | 31.7% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .391 | .478 | 5.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Masyn Winn clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Nathan Church o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 57% · n=29 · -114 dabble_us_dfs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=29 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=138 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 68% · n=99 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 356 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +201 | -200 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS