Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.81
Edge
-4.0%Last 20
55%6/11 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
1.15
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
3/6
L20
55%
6/11
2026
40%
19/47
Avg1.00
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .195 | .218 | 21.3% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .348 | .522 | 31.7% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .391 | .478 | 5.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Masyn Winn clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 67% · n=219 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Nathan Church o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=49 · -114 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs MIL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS