Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.06
Edge
-2.2%Last 5
20%1/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
4%
1/23
Avg0.08
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .195 | .218 | 21.3% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .348 | .522 | 31.7% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .391 | .478 | 5.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Masyn Winn clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 94% · base 68% · n=16 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Iván Herrera o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 39% · n=16 · +147 dabble_us_dfs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=25 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Iván Herrera o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 42% · n=16 · +123 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1117 | -1111 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIL — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS