Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.57
Edge
+0.3%Last 20
0%0/20 over 2.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/89
Avg0.57
StreakL117
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .267 | .611 | 19.5% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .032 | .065 | 55.2% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .093 | .163 | 44.9% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .262 | .462 | 42.8% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .364 | .682 | 18.8% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .315 | .556 | 19.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Zach Neto clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Denzer Guzman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 74% · n=11 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
Nolan Schanuel o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 62% · n=143 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Walbert Ureña o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 53% · n=9 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Jo Adell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=147 · -147 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +131 | -130 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs TEX — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Colt Keith DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS