Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach Neto

Los Angeles Angels · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.23
Edge
+1.5%
Last 20
0%0/14 over 1 · 6 push
Window avg
0.30
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/14
2026
1%
1/72
Avg0.18
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
45.0%
95.4.267.61119.5%
Curveball
21.3%
81.7.032.06555.2%
Changeup
10.2%
86.7.093.16344.9%
Slider
9.5%
85.8.262.46242.8%
Cutter
8.9%
89.9.364.68218.8%
Sinker
5.1%
95.2.315.55619.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zach Neto clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 55% · n=52 · -129 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Home Runslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
0@ AZ06/151@ AZ06/161@ AZ06/170@ OAK06/181@ OAK06/190@ OAK06/201@ OAK06/210vs BAL06/220vs BAL06/230vs BAL06/240vs OAK06/260vs OAK06/270vs OAK06/281@ SEA06/290@ SEA06/300@ SEA07/020vs BOS07/030vs BOS07/041vs BOS07/050@ TEX07/071

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+425-417

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TEX Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Logan O'Hoppe LAA07/070
Nolan Schanuel LAA07/070
Jo Adell LAA07/070
Josh Lowe LAA07/070
Oswald Peraza LAA07/070
Wade Meckler LAA07/070
Denzer Guzman LAA07/070
Jorge Soler LAA07/070
Riley Greene DET07/051
Spencer Torkelson DET07/050
Kerry Carpenter DET07/050
Dillon Dingler DET07/050
Kevin McGonigle DET07/050
James Outman DET07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.143.333.143.350.351.351.083.400.205
AVG
.000.333.154.350.351.351.083.400.205
Exit Velo
87.8389.6687.9885.8593.1694.0396.1196.9692.22
sluggingPercentage
.000.857.385.850.838.622.333.760.487
OPS
.1431.190.5001.2001.189.973.4171.160.692