Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Paul Goldschmidt

New York Yankees · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.68
Edge
-19.5%
Last 20
5%1/20 over 2.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
5%
3/64
Avg0.95
StreakL19

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.356.89817.9%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.250.37527.6%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.375.40630.7%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.273.59118.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Paul Goldschmidt clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=106 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=106 · -123 BetOnline
Trent Grisham o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=99 · -132 DraftKings
Ben Rice o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 56% · n=101 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 2.5

official box scores
3@ TOR06/142vs CWS06/162vs CWS06/171vs CWS06/180vs CIN06/191vs CIN06/200vs CIN06/212@ DET06/221@ DET06/232@ DET06/242@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/260@ BOS06/270@ BOS06/280vs DET06/290vs DET06/300vs MIN07/030vs MIN07/040@ TB07/060@ TB07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-274+201
dabble_us_dfs0.5-222+225
BetOnline0.5-238+178

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/073
Ali Sánchez NYY07/072
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
José Caballero NYY07/070
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Austin Wells NYY07/060
Trent Grisham NYY07/060
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/060
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.273.231.188.286.571.278.300.400.286
Exit Velo
96.7493.9892.1985.7195.6191.5787.6190.8283.81
AVG
.273.167.188.286.571.278.300.400.250
sluggingPercentage
.909.667.438.7141.071.611.700.500.400
OPS
1.182.846.6251.0001.643.8891.000.900.667