Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.34
Edge
-18.0%All 362 games
1%2/337 over 2 · 25 push
Window avg
0.49
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/19
2026
0%
0/61
Avg0.49
StreakL10
Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.9% | 95.6 | .356 | .898 | 17.9% |
| Changeup | 28.8% | 87.0 | .250 | .375 | 27.6% |
| Slider | 20.0% | 88.3 | .375 | .406 | 30.7% |
| Curveball | 14.3% | 82.1 | .273 | .591 | 18.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Paul Goldschmidt clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 67% · n=83 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 60% · n=67 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 60% · n=67 · -123 BetOnline
Jasson Domínguez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 55% · n=48 · -149 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 362 games vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +113 | -112 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs
League vs TB — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Amed Rosario NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ali Sánchez NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jasson Domínguez NYY | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Austin Wells NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS