Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Paul Goldschmidt

New York Yankees · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.68
Edge
-19.4%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
21%
4/19
Avg1.00
StreakL4

Parlay pairs — when Paul Goldschmidt clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=106 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=106 · -123 BetOnline
Trent Grisham o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=99 · -132 DraftKings
Ben Rice o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 56% · n=101 · -208 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ TOR10/051@ SF03/271@ SEA04/010vs KC04/192@ HOU04/261vs BAL05/031vs TEX05/070@ NYM05/170vs TB05/241@ KC05/251@ OAK05/311vs CLE06/042vs BOS06/072@ CLE06/101@ TOR06/133@ TOR06/141vs CIN06/200vs CIN06/210@ BOS06/270vs MIN07/041.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-274+201
BetOnline0.5-238+178

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/073
Ali Sánchez NYY07/072
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Trent Grisham NYY07/060
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/060
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.300.231.188.286.571.278.333.400.286
OPS
1.300.846.6251.0001.643.8891.111.900.667
Exit Velo
96.7493.9892.1985.7195.6191.5787.6190.8283.81
sluggingPercentage
1.000.667.438.7141.071.611.778.500.400
AVG
.300.167.188.286.571.278.333.400.250