Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.05
Edge
+12.9%Trending splitsDay 28%(29)
Last 20
50%10/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.50
Median
1.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
37%
25/67
Avg1.61
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .214 | .286 | 36.1% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .235 | .388 | 30.6% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .233 | .533 | 21.3% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .237 | .368 | 41.9% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .333 | .500 | 34.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Kyle Stowers clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 86% · base 77% · n=69 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 73% · n=73 · -271 DraftKings
Joe Mack o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 57% · n=18 · -130 DraftKings
Owen Caissie o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 53% · n=24 · -119 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +131 | -130 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs SEA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Yohendrick Piñango TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Urías TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS