Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.19
Edge
-0.7%All 103 games
13%13/103 over 0.5
Window avg
0.17
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
10%
3/29
Avg0.17
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .214 | .286 | 36.1% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .235 | .388 | 30.6% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .233 | .533 | 21.3% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .237 | .368 | 41.9% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .333 | .500 | 34.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Kyle Stowers clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 77% · n=27 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Liam Hicks o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 60% · n=18 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Jakob Marsee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 56% · n=10 · -141 dabble_us_dfs
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 50% · n=27 · -137 DK Pick6
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — all 103 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +444 | -435 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SEA — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Urías TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS