Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.06
Edge
+2.5%Last 246
33%49/149 over 1 · 97 push
Window avg
0.88
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
57%
4/7
L20
42%
5/12
2026
33%
14/42
Avg0.88
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Kyle Stowers clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 77% · n=118 · -267 DraftKings
Joe Mack o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 57% · n=28 · -130 DraftKings
Owen Caissie o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 53% · n=36 · -142 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 246 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SEA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage