Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jonathan Aranda

Tampa Bay Rays · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-1.8%
Last 5
0%0/3 over 1 · 2 push
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
33%
2/6
L20
55%
6/11
2026
46%
25/54
Avg1.00
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Jonathan Aranda clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Richie Palacios o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 52% · n=53 · -114 DraftKings
Richie Palacios o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 52% · n=53 · -118 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 1

official box scores
0@ HOU07/031@ HOU07/041@ HOU07/050vs NYY07/060vs NYY07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-208+155
BetOnline0.5-208+158

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Yandy Díaz TB07/072
Richie Palacios TB07/072
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/072
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Taylor Walls TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060
Nick Fortes TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.3597.4081.8793.1096.2488.4491.0097.8593.56
onBasePercentage
.400.190.067.138.400.182.200.417.417
sluggingPercentage
.421.526.067.222.628.318.360.667.583
OPS
.800.667.133.3451.000.500.5601.0831.000
AVG
.368.211.067.148.419.182.200.417.417