Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jonathan Aranda

Tampa Bay Rays · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-1.8%
All 184 games
68%126/184 over 0.5
Window avg
1.03
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
65%
41/63
Avg1.03
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Jonathan Aranda clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Richie Palacios o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 52% · n=53 · -114 DraftKings
Richie Palacios o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 52% · n=53 · -118 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 184 games vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs BAL05/201@ NYY05/222@ BAL05/253@ BAL05/262@ BAL05/272vs LAA05/291vs LAA05/310vs DET06/010vs DET06/020vs DET06/031@ MIA06/050@ MIA06/061@ MIA06/070@ LAA06/132@ LAA06/142@ LAD06/171vs WSH06/201vs KC06/222vs KC06/233vs KC06/251vs AZ06/261vs AZ06/270vs AZ06/282@ KC07/011@ KC07/020@ HOU07/031@ HOU07/041@ HOU07/050vs NYY07/060vs NYY07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-208+155
BetOnline0.5-208+158

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Richie Palacios TB07/072
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/072
Yandy Díaz TB07/072
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Yandy Díaz TB07/060
Nick Fortes TB07/060
Taylor Walls TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.3597.4081.8793.1096.2488.4491.0097.8593.56
onBasePercentage
.400.190.067.138.400.182.200.417.417
sluggingPercentage
.421.526.067.222.628.318.360.667.583
OPS
.800.667.133.3451.000.500.5601.0831.000
AVG
.368.211.067.148.419.182.200.417.417